BlocConnect · backtest report

Donchian

BTCUSDT · 5m · 5940 bars · generated 2026-06-14 06:09 UTC
HYPOTHESIS HOLDSall declared conditions hold
Net return
+34.37%
over 20.6 days
Sharpe
10.61
Sortino 50.09 · Calmar n/a <45d
Deflated Sharpe
0.743
PSR 0.999 · 15 trials
Max drawdown
-5.27%
MC p95 -3.79%
Win rate
60.00%
40 trades
Profit factor
4.18
payoff 3.00
Expectancy
+0.701R
95% CI [0.34, 1.06]R
Avg win / loss
+1.50 / -0.50R
MAE 0.36R · MFE 1.61R

Equity curve

R-multiple distribution

0R

Monte-Carlo drawdown (5000 reorderings)

medianp75p95p99worst
-2.33%-2.82% -3.79%-4.61% -6.74%

Same trades, shuffled order — the drawdown you should be prepared for, not just the one that happened.

Trade ledger (last 40)

sideentryexitqtypnlRreasonbars
long3.034e+043.096e+040.342+191.04+1.47Rclose72
long3.035e+043.026e+040.429-54.43-0.42Rclose26
long3.043e+043.03e+040.383-62.73-0.48Rclose34
long3.092e+043.064e+040.244-75.68-0.57Rclose18
long3.137e+043.115e+040.314-80.02-0.60Rclose21
long3.483e+043.458e+040.278-78.29-0.59Rclose19
long3.598e+043.587e+040.396-59.64-0.44Rclose55
long3.583e+043.561e+040.233-60.70-0.45Rclose29
long3.555e+043.564e+040.188+9.00+0.07Rclose27
long3.604e+043.579e+040.316-92.31-0.68Rclose10
long3.52e+043.549e+040.48+151.94+1.13Rclose26
long3.49e+043.49e+040.323-12.40-0.09Rsl32
long3.451e+043.441e+040.249-32.57-0.24Rclose33
long3.339e+043.443e+040.38+281.70+2.14Rtp106
long3.268e+043.309e+040.326+153.53+1.18Rclose39
long3.13e+043.231e+040.168+174.95+1.36Rclose82
long2.938e+043.132e+040.194+275.86+2.20Rtp64
long2.842e+042.935e+040.397+263.71+2.14Rtp61
long2.802e+042.84e+040.221+76.67+0.63Rclose70
long3.949e+043.931e+040.331-72.44-0.59Rclose51
long3.854e+043.947e+040.389+253.90+2.11Rtp81
long3.677e+043.811e+040.191+208.44+1.76Rclose145
long3.641e+043.634e+040.154-16.83-0.14Rclose45
long3.505e+043.643e+040.253+250.83+2.16Rtp75
long3.418e+043.47e+040.133+63.88+0.55Rclose101
long3.282e+043.417e+040.251+244.02+2.16Rtp101
long3.146e+043.279e+040.248+239.15+2.16Rtp158
long3.17e+043.15e+040.405-95.86-0.86Rclose25
long3.399e+043.369e+040.281-95.07-0.85Rclose28
long3.533e+043.506e+040.222-67.84-0.60Rclose16
long3.936e+043.914e+040.171-45.31-0.40Rclose36
long3.795e+043.937e+040.234+239.25+2.15Rtp75
long3.669e+043.752e+040.254+176.87+1.62Rclose116
long3.587e+043.636e+040.202+90.93+0.84Rclose44
long3.447e+043.584e+040.233+229.61+2.16Rtp87
long3.396e+043.426e+040.226+59.84+0.57Rclose54
long3.262e+043.398e+040.228+223.67+2.16Rtp108
long3.227e+043.244e+040.218+30.29+0.29Rclose38
long3.124e+043.188e+040.149+89.18+0.87Rclose64
long3.042e+043.123e+040.37+211.96+2.12Rtp47
BlocConnect — forward-test that matches live by construction.blocconnect.com